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VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips – Bundesliga

Published lut 06, 2026
Updated lut 06, 2026
4 mins read
vfl-wolfsburg
bundesliga
Bundesliga
borussia-dortmund
VfL Wolfsburg
Sat, 07 Feb, 14:30
Borussia Dortmund
Home
4.2
Draw
4.0
Away
1.7
Bet now

Match Preview

Bundesliga action heats up as struggling VfL Wolfsburg host a formidable Borussia Dortmund side on Saturday, 7 Feb 2026, at 14:30 GMT. This fixture holds significant weight for both clubs, albeit for different reasons. Wolfsburg desperately need points to pull away from the relegation dogfight, while Dortmund aim to consolidate their position in the European qualification spots and maintain pressure on the league leaders. The stage is set for a compelling encounter where form, head-to-head history, and individual quality will collide in what promises to be an intriguing contest at the Volkswagen Arena.

VfL Wolfsburg – Team Analysis

Date Competition Opponent Score Result
2026-01-30 Bundesliga vs 1. FC Köln 0-1 Loss
2026-01-24 Bundesliga vs FSV Mainz 05 1-3 Loss
2026-01-17 Bundesliga vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1-1 Draw
2026-01-14 Bundesliga vs FC St. Pauli 2-1 Win
2026-01-11 Bundesliga vs Bayern München 1-8 Loss
Average Goals Scored:1.0 goals/game
Average Goals Conceded:2.8 conceded/game
Current Form:LLDWL

VfL Wolfsburg come into this fixture in a worrying patch of form, with their last five Bundesliga outings yielding just one win, one draw, and three defeats. The crushing 1-8 defeat to Bayern Munich still looms large, highlighting significant defensive vulnerabilities that have plagued them. Their average of 1.0 goals scored per game is simply not enough to compete consistently, especially when paired with a porous defense conceding an alarming 2.8 goals per game. Their recent 0-1 and 1-3 losses against Köln and Mainz respectively, further underscore their struggle to find rhythm and solidity, placing immense pressure on the Wolves as they face a strong Dortmund side.

Borussia Dortmund – Team Analysis

Date Competition Opponent Score Result
2026-02-01 Bundesliga vs 1. FC Heidenheim 3-2 Win
2026-01-28 Champions League vs Inter 0-2 Loss
2026-01-24 Bundesliga vs Union Berlin 3-0 Win
2026-01-20 Champions League vs Tottenham 0-2 Loss
2026-01-17 Bundesliga vs FC St. Pauli 3-2 Win
Average Goals Scored:1.8 goals/game
Average Goals Conceded:1.6 conceded/game
Current Form:WLWLW

Borussia Dortmund arrive in Wolfsburg with a mixed but generally more positive recent record, showing three wins and two losses in their last five competitive matches. Their defeats came against strong Champions League opposition (Inter and Tottenham), which doesn’t diminish their Bundesliga form where they secured vital wins against 1. FC Heidenheim (3-2), Union Berlin (3-0), and FC St. Pauli (3-2). BVB’s attacking output is impressive, averaging 1.8 goals per game, showcasing their ability to find the net regularly. While they concede an average of 1.6 goals per game, their offensive firepower often compensates, making them a dangerous proposition for any opponent, especially one struggling defensively.

Head-to-Head Record

Date Competition Match Score Winner
2023-09-23 Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg 1-0 Borussia Dortmund
2023-05-07 Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg 6-0 Borussia Dortmund
2022-04-16 Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg 6-1 Borussia Dortmund
2008-05-17 Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg 2-4 VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg Wins:1
Draws:0
Borussia Dortmund Wins:3

The historical head-to-head record heavily favors Borussia Dortmund in recent times. Out of the last four meetings, Dortmund have secured three victories, often in dominant fashion, with scorelines like 6-0 and 6-1 demonstrating their superiority. VfL Wolfsburg’s sole win against BVB in this dataset dates back to 2008. Notably, there have been no draws between these two sides in the observed recent history, suggesting that when they meet, a clear winner typically emerges. This trend, combined with current form, further strengthens Dortmund’s case going into this fixture.

Predicted Starting Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg – Predicted XI

4-2-3-1
Position Player
Goalkeeper K. Grabara
Defender J. Mæhle
Defender D. Vavro
Defender K. Koulierakis
Defender K. Fischer
Midfielder Vinicius Souza
Midfielder M. Arnold
Midfielder L. Majer
Midfielder J. Lindstrøm
Attacker A. Daghim
Midfielder P. Wimmer

Borussia Dortmund – Predicted XI

4-2-3-1
Position Player
Goalkeeper G. Kobel
Defender J. Ryerson
Defender N. Schlotterbeck
Defender W. Anton
Defender R. Bensebaïni
Midfielder S. Özcan
Midfielder F. Nmecha
Attacker J. Brandt
Attacker K. Adeyemi
Midfielder J. Bellingham
Attacker S. Guirassy

Team News

VfL Wolfsburg absences: M. Amoura, Cleiton, B. Dardai, M. Jenz, J. Maehle, Rogerio, J. Seelt, J. Wind. The Wolves face significant injury concerns, particularly in defense, which will test their squad depth against a high-caliber opponent.

Borussia Dortmund absences: E. Can, F. Mane, M. Sabitzer. While Dortmund also have key players out, their squad depth generally allows them to absorb these absences more effectively without severely impacting their primary XI’s quality.

Betting Analysis & Tips

Reviewing the provided Wolfbet odds for this Bundesliga clash, Borussia Dortmund are clear favourites at 1.7 for an away win, which aligns with their superior form, stronger squad, and dominant head-to-head record against Wolfsburg. The home win for VfL Wolfsburg is priced at a substantial 4.2, reflecting their ongoing struggles, particularly their defensive frailties highlighted by an average of 2.8 goals conceded per game. A draw at 4.0 also seems less likely, given that none of their recent encounters have ended in a stalemate. The „Over/Under 3.0 goals” market presents an interesting opportunity, with Over 3.0 priced at 1.92 and Under 3.0 at 1.88. Considering Wolfsburg’s high concession rate and Dortmund’s attacking prowess, coupled with their recent high-scoring Bundesliga games and historical H2H results, the 'Over’ market looks appealing. The significant injuries for Wolfsburg, especially in defense, further tilt the scales towards a higher-scoring affair, making the Over 3.0 goals a value bet.

Market Selection Odds Value Rating
Match Result VfL Wolfsburg 4.2 Poor Value
Draw Draw 4.0 Poor Value
Match Result Borussia Dortmund 1.7 Good Value
Goals Total Over 3.0 1.92 Good Value
Goals Total Under 3.0 1.88 Poor Value

Final Prediction

Based on current form, key statistics, and a dominant head-to-head record, Borussia Dortmund are strongly positioned to secure a comfortable victory over VfL Wolfsburg. Wolfsburg’s defensive struggles, amplified by crucial absences, are likely to be exploited by Dortmund’s potent attack. We anticipate BVB to control the tempo and convert their chances, leading to a multi-goal triumph. Given the trends, a final score in the range of 1-3 or 0-3 seems plausible, with Dortmund’s offensive strength overpowering the hosts’ fragile defense.

Predicted Score VfL Wolfsburg 1-3 Borussia Dortmund
Most Likely Result Away Win
Confidence Level High

Responsible Gambling

This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Please gamble responsibly and be aware that betting involves risks. Only wager what you can afford to lose.

Oliver Grant
Oliver Grant
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Football tactical analyst from London, UK. Oliver has over a decade of experience covering European Leagues and UEFA competitions. Known for his data-driven insights and calm, analytical style.