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Stade Rennais vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction & Betting Tips – Ligue 1 Stade Rennais vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction & Betting Tips – Ligue 1
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Friday, 13 Feb 2026 at 18:00 GMT, brings a captivating Ligue 1 clash as Stade Rennais host the reigning champions, Paris Saint-Germain, at Roazhon Park. This fixture pits a struggling Rennais side, currently desperate for points and mired in a deep slump, against a formidable PSG squad aiming to solidify their dominant position at the top of the league table. With significant disparities in recent form, statistical performance, and historical encounters, this match presents intriguing betting opportunities for sharp punters looking beyond the obvious.
The stage is unequivocally set for a challenging evening for the home side, Stade Rennais, who face the daunting task of containing one of Europe’s elite clubs. Conversely, for Paris Saint-Germain, this fixture offers a prime opportunity to maintain their momentum and showcase their relentless attacking prowess. Our detailed analysis will delve into team forms, head-to-head records, and critical betting markets to uncover the most valuable propositions for this intriguing encounter.
Stade Rennais – Team Analysis
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Ligue 1 | Lens | 1-3 | Loss |
| 2026-02-03 | Coupe de France | Marseille | 0-3 | Loss |
| 2026-01-31 | Ligue 1 | Monaco | 0-4 | Loss |
| 2026-01-24 | Ligue 1 | Lorient | 0-2 | Loss |
| 2026-01-18 | Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 1-1 | Draw |
Stade Rennais are enduring a particularly challenging spell, highlighted by their dismal recent form of LLLLD. They enter this contest on the back of five winless games across all competitions, including four consecutive defeats where they have collectively conceded 12 goals. Their offensive output has been severely lacking, averaging a mere 0.4 goals/game over this period, indicating a profound struggle in creating and converting chances.
Defensively, Rennais have been alarmingly porous, conceding an average of 2.6 conceded/game. This consistent underperformance across both ends of the pitch paints a grim picture for their prospects against a top-tier opponent like Paris Saint-Germain. Confidence is likely at an all-time low, making a turnaround in this fixture seem highly improbable given the magnitude of the challenge.
Paris Saint-Germain – Team Analysis
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Ligue 1 | Marseille | 5-0 | Win |
| 2026-02-01 | Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | 2-1 | Win |
| 2026-01-28 | UEFA Champions League | Newcastle | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2026-01-23 | Ligue 1 | Auxerre | 1-0 | Win |
| 2026-01-20 | UEFA Champions League | Sporting CP | 1-2 | Loss |
Paris Saint-Germain arrive in strong contention, showcasing their dominant league form with WWDWL in their last five outings across all competitions. Their recent 5-0 demolition of fierce rivals Marseille in Ligue 1 underscores their exceptional attacking prowess and enhanced defensive solidity. PSG boasts an impressive average of 2.0 goals/game over this period, demonstrating their ability to consistently find the back of the net against various opponents.
Equally impressive is their defensive record, conceding a meager 0.8 goals/game in their recent fixtures. This robust overall performance reflects their tactical discipline and individual brilliance, making them formidable opponents for any side. Despite a Champions League setback, their domestic form remains exceptionally strong, positioning them as clear favorites to secure another comfortable victory in this upcoming match.
Head-to-Head Record
| Date | Competition | Match | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | Ligue 1 – Regular Season – 15 | Stade Rennais vs Paris Saint-Germain | 0-5 | Paris Saint Germain |
| 2025-03-08 | Ligue 1 – Regular Season – 25 | Stade Rennais vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1-4 | Paris Saint Germain |
| 2024-09-27 | Ligue 1 – Regular Season – 6 | Stade Rennais vs Paris Saint-Germain | 3-1 | Paris Saint Germain |
| 2024-02-25 | Ligue 1 – Regular Season – 23 | Stade Rennais vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2023-10-08 | Ligue 1 – Regular Season – 8 | Stade Rennais vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1-3 | Paris Saint Germain |
The historical head-to-head record between Stade Rennais and Paris Saint-Germain strongly favors the visitors. Over their last five encounters, PSG has secured 4 victories, with only 1 draw recorded and 0 wins for Stade Rennais. This consistent pattern of dominance by Paris Saint-Germain underscores the significant gulf in class and strength between the two sides.
Notably, the most recent meeting between these teams on 2025-12-06 saw PSG claim a decisive 5-0 victory, further illustrating their capacity to overpower Rennais convincingly. This comprehensive H2H record provides a crucial context for analyzing the upcoming fixture, strongly suggesting that Stade Rennais will face an incredibly tough challenge to even secure a point against their formidable opponents.
Predicted Starting Lineups
Stade Rennais – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | B. Samba |
| Attacker | L. Rosier |
| Defender | A. Rouault |
| Defender | L. Brassier |
| Defender | Q. Merlin |
| Midfielder | G. Kamara |
| Midfielder | V. Rongier |
| Midfielder | S. Fofana |
| Attacker | L. Blas |
| Attacker | B. Embolo |
| Midfielder | Mousa Tamari |
Paris Saint-Germain – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | L. Chevalier |
| Defender | A. Hakimi |
| Defender | W. Pacho |
| Defender | I. Zabarnyi |
| Defender | Nuno Mendes |
| Midfielder | Vitinha |
| Midfielder | W. Zaïre-Emery |
| Midfielder | João Neves |
| Attacker | O. Dembélé |
| Attacker | Gonçalo Ramos |
| Attacker | B. Barcola |
Team News
Stade Rennais absences: No key absences.
Paris Saint-Germain absences: No key absences.
Betting Analysis & Tips
Wolfbet odds highlight Paris Saint-Germain as overwhelming favorites for this Ligue 1 encounter, priced at a modest 1.42 for an away win. This figure accurately reflects the significant disparity in quality, current form, and historical dominance between the two sides. Stade Rennais are substantial outsiders at 5.6 for a home victory, while the draw is offered at 4.7. While the outright PSG win is highly probable, the low odds might deter some bettors seeking higher returns, though it serves as a strong anchor for accumulator bets.
The 'Over/Under 3.5 Goals’ market presents a particularly compelling alternative for value. Wolfbet offers Over 3.5 goals at 1.96 and Under 3.5 goals at 1.74. Considering Stade Rennais’ alarming defensive record, conceding an average of 2.6 goals/game in their last five, coupled with PSG’s potent attack averaging 2.0 goals/game, the 'Over 3.5 Goals’ seems to offer considerable value at 1.96. PSG has demonstrated their ability to score freely, recently putting five past Marseille and four past Rennes in a prior H2H meeting.
This match has all the hallmarks of a one-sided affair where PSG could easily cover the 'Over’ line on their own, especially against a team that has shipped 10 goals in its last three league games. Furthermore, Rennais’ struggle in front of goal, with an average of just 0.4 goals/game in recent fixtures, suggests that any goals scored will likely come predominantly from the visitors. This strengthens the case for a high-scoring PSG win without significant reply from the hosts, making the 1.96 for Over 3.5 an attractive proposition.
While specific handicap odds are not provided, conceptually, a bet on PSG to win by a margin of 2 or more goals would also align with this analysis. The combination of PSG’s attacking might and Rennais’ defensive frailties points towards a goal-filled encounter, firmly favoring the champions. Considering the clear statistical trends and recent performances, backing the 'Over 3.5 Goals’ market appears to be the shrewdest play for this fixture.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Value Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Stade Rennais | 5.6 | Low |
| Draw | Draw | 4.7 | Low |
| Match Result | Paris Saint-Germain | 1.42 | Medium |
| Over/Under 3.5 Goals | Over 3.5 | 1.96 | High |
| Over/Under 3.5 Goals | Under 3.5 | 1.74 | Low |
Final Prediction
Based on the comprehensive analysis of recent form, overwhelming head-to-head records, and stark team statistics, Paris Saint-Germain are heavily favored to secure a comfortable and dominant victory. Stade Rennais’ dire form and defensive vulnerabilities make it highly improbable for them to withstand PSG’s relentless attacking might and maintain a competitive scoreline. We anticipate a thoroughly dominant performance from the visitors, characterized by multiple goals and strong control of the game.
Furthermore, given Rennais’ profound struggles in front of goal, averaging just 0.4 goals per game recently, a clean sheet for PSG is also a very strong possibility, adding to the likelihood of a one-sided affair. This match presents an opportunity for PSG to flex their muscles and for Rennais to unfortunately continue their difficult run.
| Predicted Score | Stade Rennais 0-4 Paris Saint-Germain |
| Most Likely Result | Away Win |
| Confidence Level | High |
Responsible Gambling
This prediction is for entertainment purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Betting involves significant risk, and outcomes are never guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, seek help from a professional.
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