AS Monaco vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction & Betting Tips – UEFA Champions League
Match Preview
The UEFA Champions League Round of 16 clash between AS Monaco and Paris Saint-Germain promises an intriguing battle of French giants. Monaco hosts PSG on Tuesday, 17 Feb 2026 at 20:00 GMT, with both sides eager to gain an advantage in this two-legged tie. PSG enter as clear favorites, but Monaco’s recent form and home advantage could make this a competitive encounter. This preview breaks down the latest trends, stats, and betting opportunities.
AS Monaco – Team Analysis
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Ligue 1 | Nantes | 3-1 | Win |
| 2026-02-08 | Ligue 1 | Nice | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2026-02-05 | Coupe de France | Strasbourg | 1-3 | Loss |
| 2026-01-31 | Ligue 1 | Rennes | 4-0 | Win |
| 2026-01-28 | UEFA Champions League | Juventus | 0-0 | Draw |
Monaco have shown a solid defensive record, conceding less than one goal per game on average. Their recent home performances include a convincing 4-0 win over Rennes and a strong 3-1 victory against Nantes, indicating good attacking potential. However, inconsistency remains, with a recent loss and two draws mixed in.
Paris Saint-Germain – Team Analysis
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Ligue 1 | Rennes | 1-3 | Loss |
| 2026-02-08 | Ligue 1 | Marseille | 5-0 | Win |
| 2026-02-01 | Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | 2-1 | Win |
| 2026-01-28 | UEFA Champions League | Newcastle | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2026-01-23 | Ligue 1 | Auxerre | 1-0 | Win |
PSG display strong attacking numbers, averaging two goals per game, but their defense has been somewhat vulnerable, conceding once per match. They have won four of their last five games, with a heavy 5-0 win over Marseille standing out. Despite a recent loss to Rennes, PSG remain the more potent side on paper.
Head-to-Head Record
| Date | Competition | Match | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No head-to-head data available for this fixture. | ||||
Predicted Starting Lineups
AS Monaco – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | P. Köhn |
| Defender | Vanderson |
| Defender | J. Teze |
| Defender | M. Salisu |
| Defender | Caio Henrique |
| Defender | D. Zakaria |
| Midfielder | A. Golovin |
| Midfielder | M. Akliouche |
| Midfielder | K. Diatta |
| Attacker | F. Balogun |
| Attacker | Ansu Fati |
Paris Saint-Germain – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | L. Chevalier |
| Defender | A. Hakimi |
| Defender | W. Pacho |
| Defender | I. Zabarnyi |
| Defender | Nuno Mendes |
| Midfielder | Vitinha |
| Defender | W. Zaïre-Emery |
| Midfielder | João Neves |
| Attacker | K. Kvaratskhelia |
| Attacker | Gonçalo Ramos |
| Attacker | O. Dembélé |
Team News
AS Monaco absences: No key absences.
Paris Saint-Germain absences: No key absences.
Betting Analysis & Tips
Paris Saint-Germain are clear favorites at 1.51 odds to win this match, reflecting their superior squad depth and recent attacking form. AS Monaco’s home win odds of 5.6 offer value for bettors seeking an upset, especially considering Monaco’s solid defensive record and recent home victories. The draw at 4.4 is also a plausible outcome given the competitive nature of Champions League ties and Monaco’s resilience. The Over 3.0 goals market at 1.8 is appealing, considering PSG’s attacking firepower combined with Monaco’s ability to score.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Value Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | AS Monaco | 5.6 | |
| Draw | Draw | 4.4 | |
| Match Result | Paris Saint-Germain | 1.51 |
Final Prediction
This clash is expected to be a lively encounter with goals at both ends. PSG’s attacking quality should edge them to a narrow victory, but Monaco’s defensive discipline will keep the scoreline close. A 2-1 away win for Paris Saint-Germain looks the most likely outcome.
| Predicted Score | AS Monaco 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain |
| Most Likely Result | Away Win |
| Confidence Level | Medium |
Responsible Gambling
This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.