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Genoa vs SSC Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips – Serie A Genoa vs SSC Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips – Serie A
Match Preview: Genoa vs SSC Napoli
Serie A action continues this Saturday as Genoa hosts SSC Napoli at 17:00 GMT. This fixture pits a resilient Genoa side, enjoying a period of strong home performances, against a Napoli team grappling with inconsistent form and significant injury concerns. The stakes are high for both clubs, with Genoa looking to climb further up the table and Napoli aiming to regain crucial momentum in their campaign.
Wolfbet provides intriguing odds for this encounter, with the home side priced at 4.33, a draw at 3.13, and an away victory for Napoli at 1.92. These figures suggest Napoli are favourites, but Genoa’s recent displays and the historical head-to-head record hint at a potentially tighter contest than the odds might initially suggest, offering opportunities for astute bettors.
Genoa – Team Analysis
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | Serie A | Lazio | 2-3 | 🔴 Loss |
| 2026-01-25 | Serie A | Bologna | 3-2 | 🟢 Win |
| 2026-01-18 | Serie A | Parma | 0-0 | 🟡 Draw |
| 2026-01-12 | Serie A | Cagliari | 3-0 | 🟢 Win |
| 2026-01-08 | Serie A | AC Milan | 1-1 | 🟡 Draw |
Genoa comes into this match in relatively good form, boasting two wins, two draws, and a narrow loss in their last five Serie A outings. Their attacking prowess is evident, averaging 1.8 goals per game, demonstrating their ability to find the net consistently, especially at home.
Despite conceding 1.2 goals per game, their recent home victories, including a convincing 3-0 against Cagliari and a thrilling 3-2 over Bologna, highlight their resilience and offensive firepower. Their only recent loss was a tight 3-2 encounter against a strong Lazio side, indicating they can compete with top-tier teams.
SSC Napoli – Team Analysis
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Serie A | Fiorentina | 2-1 | 🟢 Win |
| 2026-01-28 | UEFA Champions League | Chelsea | 2-3 | 🔴 Loss |
| 2026-01-25 | Serie A | Juventus | 0-3 | 🔴 Loss |
| 2026-01-20 | UEFA Champions League | FC Copenhagen | 1-1 | 🟡 Draw |
| 2026-01-17 | Serie A | Sassuolo | 1-0 | 🟢 Win |
Napoli’s recent form paints a picture of inconsistency, with two wins, one draw, and two losses across Serie A and Champions League fixtures. Their average of 1.2 goals scored per game is modest, especially when contrasted with their defensive struggles, conceding 1.6 goals per game.
The 0-3 defeat to Juventus and a 2-3 loss to Chelsea highlight vulnerabilities, particularly against strong opposition. While a recent 2-1 win against Fiorentina offers some relief, their overall form suggests they are not at their peak, potentially making this away fixture a challenging one.
Head-to-Head Record
| Date | Competition | Match | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-06 | Serie A | Napoli vs Genoa | 2-1 | Napoli |
| 2025-05-12 | Serie A | Genoa vs Napoli | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2024-12-22 | Serie A | Napoli vs Genoa | 1-2 | Napoli |
| 2024-02-17 | Serie A | Genoa vs Napoli | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2023-09-17 | Serie A | Napoli vs Genoa | 2-2 | Draw |
The head-to-head record between Genoa and SSC Napoli points towards a historically competitive fixture, with three draws in their last five encounters. Napoli has secured two wins, both by a narrow 2-1 margin, while Genoa is still searching for a recent victory against the Partenopei.
Notably, the last two meetings between these sides saw Napoli triumph, including a 2-1 victory in October 2025. However, the prevalence of draws, particularly 1-1 and 2-2 scorelines, suggests that Genoa often manages to hold Napoli, especially when playing at home. This history of tight contests and shared points is a crucial factor for betting considerations.
Predicted Starting Lineups
Genoa – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | N. Leali |
| Defender | S. Sabelli |
| Defender | L. Østigård |
| Defender | J. Vásquez |
| Midfielder | Aarón Martín |
| Midfielder | M. Frendrup |
| Midfielder | J. Onana |
| Midfielder | R. Malinovskyi |
| Midfielder | A. Grønbæk |
| Attacker | Vítinha |
| Attacker | Junior Messias |
SSC Napoli – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | A. Meret |
| Midfielder | M. Olivera |
| Defender | A. Buongiorno |
| Defender | Amir Rrahmani |
| Midfielder | L. Spinazzola |
| Midfielder | S. Lobotka |
| Midfielder | A. Zambo Anguissa |
| Midfielder | S. McTominay |
| Defender | Miguel Gutiérrez |
| Attacker | R. Højlund |
| Attacker | R. Lukaku |
Team News
Genoa absences: T. Baldanzi, B. Siegrist.
SSC Napoli absences: F. Anguissa, David Neres, K. De Bruyne, G. Di Lorenzo, B. Gilmour, V. Milinkovic-Savic, M. Politano, P. Mazzocchi, A. Rrahmani, A. Vergara.
Betting Analysis & Tips
The odds of 1.92 for a Napoli win seem somewhat short given their recent struggles and significant injury list, which could hamper their defensive organisation and midfield control. Genoa, in contrast, are enjoying a productive spell at home, scoring freely and showing resilience against strong opponents. This makes the 4.33 for a home win an intriguing, albeit risky, value bet.
The head-to-head record heavily leans towards draws (3 in the last 5 meetings), making the 3.13 odds for a draw particularly appealing. Given Genoa’s attacking form (1.8 goals/game) and Napoli’s defensive vulnerabilities (1.6 conceded/game), there’s a strong case for goals in this fixture. Therefore, 'Over 2.0 Goals’ at 1.87 presents solid value, as both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring games recently.
Considering Napoli’s long list of absences, including key players like De Bruyne, Di Lorenzo, and Politano, their ability to dominate this game against a robust Genoa side is questionable. While Napoli still fields a strong attack with Højlund and Lukaku, their defensive coherence might suffer. Genoa’s attacking trio, led by Vitinha and Junior Messias, will be eager to exploit any gaps.
For bettors looking for a safer option, a 'Draw No Bet’ on Genoa could offer better security than a straight win, returning stakes if the match ends in a draw. However, our primary focus for value lies in the goal markets and the probability of a shared outcome.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Value Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Genoa | 4.33 | Medium Value |
| Draw | Draw | 3.13 | Good Value |
| Match Result | SSC Napoli | 1.92 | Low Value |
| Over/Under 2.0 Goals | Over 2.0 | 1.87 | Good Value |
| Over/Under 2.0 Goals | Under 2.0 | 1.93 | Low Value |
Final Prediction
This encounter is poised to be a tight affair, reflecting the historical draws between these two clubs and Genoa’s current home form. Despite Napoli’s squad depth, their injury crisis and inconsistent performances make an away win less probable than the odds suggest. We anticipate both teams finding the net in a high-intensity match.
Given Genoa’s scoring ability and Napoli’s defensive woes, coupled with the propensity for draws in this fixture, a stalemate with goals seems the most likely outcome. Our predicted score of 2-2 reflects the attacking capabilities of Genoa and Napoli’s tendency to concede, as well as the head-to-head history.
| Predicted Score | Genoa 2-2 SSC Napoli |
| Most Likely Result | Draw |
| Confidence Level | Medium |
Responsible Gambling
This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.
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