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Olympique de Marseille vs Strasbourg Alsace Prediction & Betting Tips – Ligue 1 Olympique de Marseille vs Strasbourg Alsace Prediction & Betting Tips – Ligue 1
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Olympique de Marseille host Strasbourg Alsace in a pivotal Ligue 1 clash on Saturday, 14 Feb 2026 at 16:00 GMT. Both teams are looking to consolidate their league positions, with Marseille aiming to bounce back from a heavy defeat to PSG. Strasbourg, meanwhile, have shown resilience and goal-scoring prowess recently, setting the stage for an intriguing contest. This matchup could prove decisive in the race for European qualification spots.
Olympique de Marseille – Team Analysis
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Ligue 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 0-5 | Loss |
| 2026-02-03 | Coupe de France | Rennes | 3-0 | Win |
| 2026-01-31 | Ligue 1 | Paris FC | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2026-01-28 | UEFA Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 0-3 | Loss |
| 2026-01-24 | Ligue 1 | Lens | 3-1 | Win |
Marseille have struggled defensively, conceding over two goals per game on average. Their recent form is mixed, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. The heavy 0-5 defeat to PSG will be a tough blow to recover from, but their ability to score remains decent with 1.6 goals per game.
Strasbourg Alsace – Team Analysis
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 1-2 | Loss |
| 2026-02-05 | Coupe de France | Monaco | 3-1 | Win |
| 2026-02-01 | Ligue 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 1-2 | Loss |
| 2026-01-25 | Ligue 1 | Lille | 4-1 | Win |
| 2026-01-18 | Ligue 1 | Metz | 2-1 | Win |
Strasbourg have shown strong attacking output, averaging 2.2 goals per game. Their defensive record is more solid than Marseille’s, conceding only 1.4 goals per match. Despite two recent losses, their ability to score and bounce back is evident, making them dangerous visitors.
Head-to-Head Record
| Date | Competition | Match | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-26 | Ligue 1 | Regular Season – 6 | 1-2 | Marseille |
| 2025-01-19 | Ligue 1 | Regular Season – 18 | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2024-09-29 | Ligue 1 | Regular Season – 6 | 1-0 | Strasbourg |
| 2024-01-12 | Ligue 1 | Regular Season – 18 | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2023-11-25 | Ligue 1 | Regular Season – 13 | 1-1 | Draw |
Predicted Starting Lineups
Olympique de Marseille – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | G. Rulli |
| Defender | B. Pavard |
| Midfielder | G. Kondogbia |
| Defender | P. N’Zinga Pambani |
| Defender | F. Medina |
| Midfielder | P. Højbjerg |
| Midfielder | A. Vermeeren |
| Midfielder | Q. Timber |
| Midfielder | M. Greenwood |
| Attacker | A. Gouiri |
| Attacker | Igor Paixão |
Strasbourg Alsace – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | K. Johnsson |
| Defender | A. Omobamidele |
| Defender | A. Cisse |
| Attacker | D. Fofana |
| Defender | A. Ouattara |
| Defender | I. Doukouré |
| Midfielder | M. Amougou |
| Midfielder | S. Nanasi |
| Midfielder | Diego Moreira |
| Midfielder | V. Barco |
| Attacker | J. Panichelli |
Team News
Olympique de Marseille absences: L. Balerdi.
Strasbourg Alsace absences: A. Anselmino, G. Doue, I. Doukoure, E. Emegha, M. Oyedele.
Betting Analysis & Tips
Marseille are the favorites at 1.85, despite their defensive vulnerabilities and recent heavy loss to PSG. Strasbourg’s odds at 3.75 reflect their underdog status but their strong goal-scoring record and more solid defense make them a threat. The draw at 3.73 is also appealing given the history of three draws in the last five meetings. Considering both sides’ scoring stats, the Over 3.0 goals market at 2.01 is worth considering, as both teams tend to concede and score regularly. Overall, backing Marseille to win carries value, but a cautious approach with a draw or high-scoring outcome is justified.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Value Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Olympique de Marseille | 1.85 | Good |
| Draw | Draw | 3.73 | Medium |
| Match Result | Strasbourg Alsace | 3.75 | Speculative |
Final Prediction
Expect a closely contested game with Marseille pressing to recover confidence at home. Strasbourg’s attack will test Marseille’s leaky defense, likely producing a competitive, high-scoring affair. A narrow home win with goals from both sides is the most probable outcome.
| Predicted Score | Olympique de Marseille 2-1 Strasbourg Alsace |
| Most Likely Result | Home Win |
| Confidence Level | Medium |
Responsible Gambling
This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.
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