SL Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips – UEFA Champions League
Match Preview
The UEFA Champions League Round of 16 clash between SL Benfica and Real Madrid promises a thrilling encounter on Tuesday, 17 Feb 2026 at 20:00 GMT. Benfica hosts the Spanish giants after a strong first-leg victory, setting the stage for an intense second leg. Both sides boast impressive attacking records, making this a potentially high-scoring affair with plenty at stake. Bettors should carefully weigh recent form and odds before placing their wagers.
SL Benfica – Team Analysis
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Primeira Liga | Santa Clara | 2-1 | Win |
| 2026-02-08 | Primeira Liga | Alverca | 2-1 | Win |
| 2026-02-01 | Primeira Liga | Tondela | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2026-01-28 | UEFA Champions League | Real Madrid | 4-2 | Win |
| 2026-01-25 | Primeira Liga | Estrela | 4-0 | Win |
Benfica enter this match on a strong run, boasting four wins and a draw in their last five. Their attacking efficiency has been notable, averaging 2.4 goals per game while maintaining a solid defense that concedes less than one goal per match. The home advantage could be pivotal, especially after their impressive 4-2 win over Real Madrid in the first leg.
Real Madrid – Team Analysis
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | La Liga | Valencia | 2-0 | Win |
| 2026-02-01 | La Liga | Rayo Vallecano | 2-1 | Win |
| 2026-01-28 | UEFA Champions League | Benfica | 2-4 | Loss |
| 2026-01-24 | La Liga | Villarreal | 2-0 | Win |
| 2026-01-20 | UEFA Champions League | Monaco | 6-1 | Win |
Real Madrid have demonstrated strong offensive capabilities, averaging 2.8 goals per game, though their defense is slightly more vulnerable, conceding 1.2 goals on average. Their recent form is solid, with four wins out of five matches, but the loss to Benfica in the first leg means they face an uphill battle. Their ability to score goals will be key to overturning the deficit.
Head-to-Head Record
| Date | Competition | Match | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No head-to-head data available. | ||||
Predicted Starting Lineups
SL Benfica – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | A. Trubin |
| Defender | N. Otamendi |
| Defender | António Silva |
| Defender | Tomás Araújo |
| Defender | S. Dahl |
| Midfielder | L. Barreiro |
| Midfielder | E. Barrenechea |
| Midfielder | A. Schjelderup |
| Attacker | D. Lukebakio |
| Attacker | V. Pavlidis |
| Midfielder | G. Prestianni |
Real Madrid – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | A. Lunin |
| Defender | T. Alexander-Arnold |
| Defender | A. Rüdiger |
| Defender | D. Huijsen |
| Defender | F. Mendy |
| Midfielder | A. Tchouaméni |
| Midfielder | E. Camavinga |
| Midfielder | F. Valverde |
| Attacker | Rodrygo |
| Attacker | Kylian Mbappé |
| Midfielder | J. Bellingham |
Team News
SL Benfica absences: No key absences.
Real Madrid absences: No key absences.
Betting Analysis & Tips
Real Madrid enter this match as favorites at odds of 1.88 despite trailing from the first leg, reflecting their superior squad and ability to score consistently. However, Benfica’s home advantage and recent 4-2 win complicate the outlook. The draw market at 3.91 offers value, considering both teams’ attacking prowess and the likelihood of a tight, high-scoring game. Over 3.0 goals at 1.84 is appealing given both teams’ offensive stats and recent results. Benfica’s odds at 3.55 present a tempting underdog stake for risk-tolerant bettors.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Value Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | SL Benfica | 3.55 | |
| Draw | Draw | 3.91 | |
| Match Result | Real Madrid | 1.88 |
Final Prediction
This second leg will likely be an open contest with both sides pushing for goals. Expect a competitive match with Real Madrid chasing the deficit and Benfica aiming to defend their advantage. A 2-2 draw is a plausible outcome, leaving Benfica through on aggregate.
| Predicted Score | SL Benfica 2-2 Real Madrid |
| Most Likely Result | Draw |
| Confidence Level | Medium |
Responsible Gambling
This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.