VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips – Bundesliga
Match Preview
Bundesliga action heats up as struggling VfL Wolfsburg host a formidable Borussia Dortmund side on Saturday, 7 Feb 2026, at 14:30 GMT. This fixture holds significant weight for both clubs, albeit for different reasons. Wolfsburg desperately need points to pull away from the relegation dogfight, while Dortmund aim to consolidate their position in the European qualification spots and maintain pressure on the league leaders. The stage is set for a compelling encounter where form, head-to-head history, and individual quality will collide in what promises to be an intriguing contest at the Volkswagen Arena.
VfL Wolfsburg – Team Analysis
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | Bundesliga | vs 1. FC Köln | 0-1 | Loss |
| 2026-01-24 | Bundesliga | vs FSV Mainz 05 | 1-3 | Loss |
| 2026-01-17 | Bundesliga | vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2026-01-14 | Bundesliga | vs FC St. Pauli | 2-1 | Win |
| 2026-01-11 | Bundesliga | vs Bayern München | 1-8 | Loss |
VfL Wolfsburg come into this fixture in a worrying patch of form, with their last five Bundesliga outings yielding just one win, one draw, and three defeats. The crushing 1-8 defeat to Bayern Munich still looms large, highlighting significant defensive vulnerabilities that have plagued them. Their average of 1.0 goals scored per game is simply not enough to compete consistently, especially when paired with a porous defense conceding an alarming 2.8 goals per game. Their recent 0-1 and 1-3 losses against Köln and Mainz respectively, further underscore their struggle to find rhythm and solidity, placing immense pressure on the Wolves as they face a strong Dortmund side.
Borussia Dortmund – Team Analysis
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | Bundesliga | vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 3-2 | Win |
| 2026-01-28 | Champions League | vs Inter | 0-2 | Loss |
| 2026-01-24 | Bundesliga | vs Union Berlin | 3-0 | Win |
| 2026-01-20 | Champions League | vs Tottenham | 0-2 | Loss |
| 2026-01-17 | Bundesliga | vs FC St. Pauli | 3-2 | Win |
Borussia Dortmund arrive in Wolfsburg with a mixed but generally more positive recent record, showing three wins and two losses in their last five competitive matches. Their defeats came against strong Champions League opposition (Inter and Tottenham), which doesn’t diminish their Bundesliga form where they secured vital wins against 1. FC Heidenheim (3-2), Union Berlin (3-0), and FC St. Pauli (3-2). BVB’s attacking output is impressive, averaging 1.8 goals per game, showcasing their ability to find the net regularly. While they concede an average of 1.6 goals per game, their offensive firepower often compensates, making them a dangerous proposition for any opponent, especially one struggling defensively.
Head-to-Head Record
| Date | Competition | Match | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-23 | Bundesliga | Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1-0 | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2023-05-07 | Bundesliga | Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg | 6-0 | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2022-04-16 | Bundesliga | Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg | 6-1 | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2008-05-17 | Bundesliga | Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg | 2-4 | VfL Wolfsburg |
The historical head-to-head record heavily favors Borussia Dortmund in recent times. Out of the last four meetings, Dortmund have secured three victories, often in dominant fashion, with scorelines like 6-0 and 6-1 demonstrating their superiority. VfL Wolfsburg’s sole win against BVB in this dataset dates back to 2008. Notably, there have been no draws between these two sides in the observed recent history, suggesting that when they meet, a clear winner typically emerges. This trend, combined with current form, further strengthens Dortmund’s case going into this fixture.
Predicted Starting Lineups
VfL Wolfsburg – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | K. Grabara |
| Defender | J. Mæhle |
| Defender | D. Vavro |
| Defender | K. Koulierakis |
| Defender | K. Fischer |
| Midfielder | Vinicius Souza |
| Midfielder | M. Arnold |
| Midfielder | L. Majer |
| Midfielder | J. Lindstrøm |
| Attacker | A. Daghim |
| Midfielder | P. Wimmer |
Borussia Dortmund – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | G. Kobel |
| Defender | J. Ryerson |
| Defender | N. Schlotterbeck |
| Defender | W. Anton |
| Defender | R. Bensebaïni |
| Midfielder | S. Özcan |
| Midfielder | F. Nmecha |
| Attacker | J. Brandt |
| Attacker | K. Adeyemi |
| Midfielder | J. Bellingham |
| Attacker | S. Guirassy |
Team News
VfL Wolfsburg absences: M. Amoura, Cleiton, B. Dardai, M. Jenz, J. Maehle, Rogerio, J. Seelt, J. Wind. The Wolves face significant injury concerns, particularly in defense, which will test their squad depth against a high-caliber opponent.
Borussia Dortmund absences: E. Can, F. Mane, M. Sabitzer. While Dortmund also have key players out, their squad depth generally allows them to absorb these absences more effectively without severely impacting their primary XI’s quality.
Betting Analysis & Tips
Reviewing the provided Wolfbet odds for this Bundesliga clash, Borussia Dortmund are clear favourites at 1.7 for an away win, which aligns with their superior form, stronger squad, and dominant head-to-head record against Wolfsburg. The home win for VfL Wolfsburg is priced at a substantial 4.2, reflecting their ongoing struggles, particularly their defensive frailties highlighted by an average of 2.8 goals conceded per game. A draw at 4.0 also seems less likely, given that none of their recent encounters have ended in a stalemate. The „Over/Under 3.0 goals” market presents an interesting opportunity, with Over 3.0 priced at 1.92 and Under 3.0 at 1.88. Considering Wolfsburg’s high concession rate and Dortmund’s attacking prowess, coupled with their recent high-scoring Bundesliga games and historical H2H results, the 'Over’ market looks appealing. The significant injuries for Wolfsburg, especially in defense, further tilt the scales towards a higher-scoring affair, making the Over 3.0 goals a value bet.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Value Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | VfL Wolfsburg | 4.2 | Poor Value |
| Draw | Draw | 4.0 | Poor Value |
| Match Result | Borussia Dortmund | 1.7 | Good Value |
| Goals Total | Over 3.0 | 1.92 | Good Value |
| Goals Total | Under 3.0 | 1.88 | Poor Value |
Final Prediction
Based on current form, key statistics, and a dominant head-to-head record, Borussia Dortmund are strongly positioned to secure a comfortable victory over VfL Wolfsburg. Wolfsburg’s defensive struggles, amplified by crucial absences, are likely to be exploited by Dortmund’s potent attack. We anticipate BVB to control the tempo and convert their chances, leading to a multi-goal triumph. Given the trends, a final score in the range of 1-3 or 0-3 seems plausible, with Dortmund’s offensive strength overpowering the hosts’ fragile defense.
| Predicted Score | VfL Wolfsburg 1-3 Borussia Dortmund |
| Most Likely Result | Away Win |
| Confidence Level | High |
Responsible Gambling
This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Please gamble responsibly and be aware that betting involves risks. Only wager what you can afford to lose.